Recently, the market's expectations for a rate cut by the Fed in September have changed, with the probability of a rate cut falling from a previous high to 71.3%. However, this does not mean that a rate cut has become a mirage; on the contrary, it remains a highly likely event.

Investors need not worry excessively about this data fluctuation. From a short-term perspective, if the Fed chooses to cut interest rates in September, it will undoubtedly serve as a shot in the arm, likely driving the cryptocurrency market to strengthen further and accelerating the arrival of a bull market.

However, in the long run, even if the Fed does not take any interest rate cuts at the September meeting, its impact is not entirely negative. While it may bring some short-term blow to market sentiment, from a more macro perspective, this could extend the bull market cycle and provide the market with more lasting upward momentum.

It is worth noting that the Fed's decisions are often influenced by multiple factors, including inflation data, employment conditions, and overall economic performance. Therefore, investors should closely monitor changes in these economic indicators, rather than just focusing on the probability of interest rate cuts as a single data point.

Regardless of what decision the Fed ultimately makes, it is crucial for cryptocurrency market participants to maintain rationality and a long-term perspective. The market is always filled with uncertainty, but as long as the fundamentals remain strong, the long-term growth prospects remain bright.