Reviewing the Fed's last round of interest rate cuts
After the bull market ended in 2018, mainstream coins like BTC and ETH fell quite badly, and the entire market was sluggish.
Most retail investors are on the sidelines, institutional participation is low, and market vitality is insufficient.
July 2019: The Fed cut interest rates by 0.25 points, meaning "the economy is doing okay, but let's add some lubrication."
In the second half of 2019, BTC gradually rose from around 3000–4000 dollars to near 10,000 dollars (fluctuations before the pandemic in 2020).
September 2019: Another drop of 0.25 p

The premise of a good opportunity: there must be enough divergence.
Early opportunities with a higher win rate rely on sufficient divergence.
When an "opportunity" has gathered a lot of heat and attention, I will be more cautious;
And for the projects/platforms I originally had high hopes for, if there is persistent FUD, I become even more optimistic—discrepancies = chips and expectations are not crowded.
The most typical example is Bitcoin: from 10k → 120k, only a few have been able to make clear judgments; even today, when saying "$1M in 10 years," most people still don't believe it.
My judg

DOGE has started to rebound, and in fact, many established mainstream tokens are also starting to rebound, such as ADA, LTC, XRP, DOGE, SHIB, LINK, SUI, and other mainstream tokens. This is because after the fluctuations of BTC and ETH at high positions, capital has flowed into these mainstream tokens, and only then will it be the turn of other alts. It is essential to understand this capital outflow situation. Some obscure altcoins may have dominating dealers directly pumping to attract attention. After a wave of altcoin explosions, capital will flow back to mainstream tokens.
#ETH突破$4700# #打榜

Ethereum breaks through 4000, this is not just a casual rise, this is telling you - the main character of the bull run has returned.
Before 4000, many people were waiting, afraid of being trapped. Now that it has broken through, those who were trapped have run away, and those who were on the sidelines are also starting to chase.
Institutions and ETFs with large capital generally only play with BTC and ETH, and 4000 is their signal to increase positions.
Once ETH leads the rise, its brothers (L2 and ecosystem coins) can easily follow the trend and rise, and altcoins may welcome a wave of upward

The latest data is here: the probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut in September is as high as 87.4%!
This is no longer a "possibility" but rather a "near certainty."
The market always reacts in advance; the window for positioning is before the good news is realized.
So what I want to say is—this wave of pullback is not a risk, but an opportunity!
While emotions are still at the bottom stage, the truly smart money has already been quietly accumulating.

arb has many grievances, having already fallen by more than half. Everyone compares arb with op, but there's no need to compare anymore, as both have fallen to a point that's hard to bear. Is there still hope for layer two?
The leading Layer-2 scaling solution for Ethereum, which packages transactions to the mainnet using Optimistic Rollup technology, reducing Gas fees by over 90%.
ARB is a token that is the native token of the Arbitrum network. Arbitrum is a Layer 2 scaling solution created by Offchain Labs, designed to address congestion and high fees on Ethereum. Arbitrum aims to improve th

One of the most important signals in trend trading is the "structural breakout."
In simple terms, it means that the price has surpassed the previous high and no longer falls back to break that level; only then can we say that the market has truly given you a new direction.
The trend of "higher highs and higher lows" is the most typical trend rhythm. Once the price breaks through the previous high, retests without breaking it, and then makes another move up, that is a confirmation signal.
The practical approach is very simple:
After breaking through the previous high, I won't chase right away,

The hawkish speech will only have a temporary impact, and the overall bullish trend will not change. Unless there is a clear statement against interest rate cuts, there is no reason to hold a short order for the long term; just maintain a low position and go long.
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If Powell mentions the potential impact of tariff policies on inflation at the press conference tonight, the market will worry that there will be no rate cuts in the future, and the expectations for rate cuts starting in September will be directly halved.
This will be the situation that bulls least want to see.
Looking at the recent decline of BTC, it has actually already "rehearsed" the worst sentiments in advance.
What the market fears is never the result itself, but the ambiguity and repetition.
If the Federal Reserve releases a hint of a hawkish tone tonight, it may lead to a rise in short